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Global liquidity spillovers to emerging markets and policy responses: an overview
Global liquidity has become a popular concept in academic and policy discussions of recent years. This concept captures overall 'ease of financing' prevalent in the world economy (Caruana 2013) and it is usually mentioned as a possible cause of capital inflows global imbalances excessive credit expansion ...
Revisiting the price puzzle in Chile
Economic theory argues that a contractionary monetary policy has a negative impact on inflation. Despite this, evidence from the empirical literature frequently finds that the estimated impulse-response function of a vector autoregressive (VAR...
A prize worth having: the IMF and price stability
It is always a pleasure to be in Santiago and I am especially pleased to be able to join you at this annual conference which in its nine years has established a high reputation for the quality of the papers and the discussion. This year’s conference is focusing on the subject of inflation targeting. ...
Commodity prices and macroeconomic policy
The Book Series on “Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies” of the Central Bank of Chile publishes new research on central banking and economics in general, with special emphasis on issues and fields that are relevant to economic policies in developing economies. The volumes are published ...
Endogenous exchange-rate pass-through and self-validating exchange rate regimes
Un dilema de larga data en las economías abiertas se refiere a la moneda en que se denominan los precios nominales y los contratos. Este trabajo analiza la interacción entre los precios de exportación de las empresas y la política monetaria, y sus posibles implicancias macroeconómicas en la sincronización ...
Measuring the effects of unconventional monetary policy on asset prices
On 16 December 2008 the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate—its traditional monetary policy instrument—to essentially zero in response to the most severe U.S. financial crisis since the Great Depression. Because U.S. currency carries an interest ...
Terms of trade shocks and investment in commodity-exporting economies
Commodity prices have experienced significant swings over the past two decades. Real commodity prices have on average more than doubled in the last decade compared to the previous one while the prices of some commodities such as copper and other industrial metals have more than tripled in real terms. ...
Monetary policy and dutch disease: the case of price and wage rigidity
From a theoretical point of view and as we will show the presence of both price and wage rigidities implies that to the extent that fiscal policy is unresponsive to shocks full price stability is not optimal. In this paper we study optimal monetary and exchange rate policy in a small open economy with ...
Exchange rate pass-through to prices: VAR evidence for Chile
mensuales para Chile entre enero de 1987 y diciembre del 2013. Se encuentra que el traspaso promedio al IPC es de entre 0,1 y 0,2 a mediano plazo. Los resultados indican que el traspaso ha disminuido desde que el Banco Central de Chile adoptó el régimen de...
Propagation of inflationary shocks in Chile
Cuando un shock golpea a un determinado precio, puede extenderse a otros precios y por tanto mover la inflación total en más que el efecto inicial. Este fenómeno se conoce como propagación de shock inflacionario y es el tema del presente artículo. Se argumenta que los modelos VAR bidimensionales que ...